A reading club with a view to the future

074 George Friedman: The Next 100 Years

An analysis of the geopolitical landscape of the 21st century and a prediction of how the world will look in 100 years.

George Friedman: The Next 100 Years


George Friedman is a renowned geopolitical analyst who aims to predict the future of international relations and how they will shape the world in the next century. The book uses historical analysis and current geopolitical trends to make projections about the next 100 years. Friedman argues that the United States will continue to be the dominant world power, and that China's rise will be limited by several internal and external factors. He also discusses the future of technology, energy, and demographics, and how they will impact the geopolitical landscape.


Title: The Next 100 Years

Author: George Friedman

Publishing Year: 2009

Publisher: Doubleday

Length in Hours: 9 hours and 41 minutes

5 main ideas

  1. The United States will remain the dominant global power in the 21st century due to its military, economic, and technological advantages.
  2. China's rise to global dominance will be limited by internal political and economic problems, demographic issues, and tensions with neighboring countries.
  3. The future of energy will be shaped by the development of new technologies and the shift towards renewable sources, with the United States and China competing for dominance in this sector.
  4. The future of technology will be characterized by increased automation, artificial intelligence, and robotics, which will lead to significant changes in the global economy and the job market.
  5. The global population will continue to grow and become increasingly urbanized, which will create new challenges and opportunities for governments and societies around the world.
George Friedman: The Next 100 Years

5 funny quotes

  1. "It is easier to predict the future than to predict the stock market."
  2. "Demography is destiny, but it’s also boring."
  3. "The only thing we know about the future is that it will be different."
  4. "The future is a foreign country, and it’s always best to carry a passport."
  5. "Predicting the future is like driving at night in the fog. You can only see as far as your headlights, but you can make the whole trip that way."

5 thought-provoking quotes​

  1. "Geopolitics is the battle of the titans, so you need to think big and act big."
  2. "The key to power in the future will be the ability to move information faster than missiles and bombs."
  3. "History shows that countries that are unwilling or unable to change get left behind, and the rest of the world moves on without them."
  4. "Wars of the future will be fought over resources and water rather than ideology and religion."
  5. "The most dangerous people in the world are the ones who believe they have no future."

5 dilemmas

  1. Balancing security with privacy in an increasingly connected world
  2. The role of democracy in a globalized world
  3. The trade-off between economic growth and environmental protection
  4. The ethical implications of artificial intelligence and automation
  5. The challenge of maintaining peace and stability in a rapidly changing world

5 examples

  1. China's rise to superpower status
  2. The emergence of a European Union superstate
  3. A second Cold War between the United States and Russia
  4. Resource wars over water and oil
  5. The spread of cyberwarfare

Referenced books

  1. "The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers: Economic Change and Military Conflict from 1500 to 2000" by Paul Kennedy
  2. "The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order" by Samuel P. Huntington
  3. "The Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy" by William Strauss and Neil Howe
  4. "The Accidental Superpower: The Next Generation of American Preeminence and the Coming Global Disorder" by Peter Zeihan
  5. "The End of Power: From Boardrooms to Battlefields and Churches to States, Why Being In Charge Isn't What It Used to Be" by Moisés Naím

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"The key to power in the future will be the ability to move information faster than missiles and bombs."

George Friedman: The Next 100 Years
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